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Friday, December 02, 2011

Tracking money flow from November 25th

What gained the most in terms of percentage from the November 25th open? A look at the 6-day 10-minute percentage comparison chart below shows the following:
  • XLF (Financials ETF) ended with an 8.75% gain
  • SPX ended with a 6.50% gain
  • AUD/USD ended with a 5.25% gain
  • RTH (Retail ETF) ended with a 5.00% gain
  • DBC (Commodities ETF) ended with a 3.50% gain
  • AUD/CAD ended with a 2.25% gain
  • EUR/USD ended with a 0.50% gain
  • EUR/CAD ended with a 2.25% loss
  • USD/CAD ended with a 2.75% loss
  • EUR/AUD ended with a 4.50% loss
It looks like, starting from November 25th, the big buying took place in the U.S. Financials, e.g. XLF, the SPX, the Australian $, Retail, e.g. RTH, Commodities, e.g. DBC, and finally in the Canadian $. The Euro gained marginally over the U.S. $, but lost considerably against the Australian and Canadian $. The U.S. $ ended as a bigger loser than the Euro.

This is something I'll track over the next days/weeks to see if this trend continues or not. If equities are going to roll over, with money flowing back into the U.S $, I'd look for weakness to surface in XLF, RTH, DBC, and the Australian $, as well as and to a slightly lesser degree, the Canadian $...and further weakening of the Euro...it appears that the Euro may be de-coupling from the SPX (equities, in general)...something to note.