Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.


* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...





* Fri. April 5 @ 8:30 am ET - Employment Data
* Wed. April 10 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Meeting Minutes
* Wed. April 17 @ 2:00 pm ET - Beige Book Report
* Wed. May 1 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Monday, October 17, 2022

U.S. Bonds, Yields and Volatility Near Extreme Levels

* See UPDATES below...

The following monthly charts show the extreme moves (plunges and spikes) and volatility experienced this year in the 10-Year T-Note (TYZ2), the 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10YT), and the MOVE Index (MOVE) (which measures Treasury rate volatility through options pricing).

They are all trading near a critical support or resistance level, shown in pink.

If the MOVE Index blows through 160.00, we may see TYZ2 drop to 100.00, or lower, and US10YT spike up to 5.00, or higher...so, keep an eye on that one.

The following tweets are from the weekend...so what's going on in the bond market?

More interesting tweets...serious problems abound, and President Biden seems oblivious to all of them...

* UPDATE Oct. 23...

An interesting take on US Bonds...

2-Yr, 5-Yr, 10-Yr & 30-Yr US Bonds have begun to rally, as shown on the following 20-day 60-min. intraday chartgrid...but, it's too early to tell if they have bottomed.

* UPDATE Oct. 31...


Keep an eye on (Nov. 2interest rates and "Fed-speak!"

* UPDATE Nov. 1...

+160.3% at its peak in 1987...to -1.8% now.

I repeat...what's going on in the bond market? 😲