WELCOME

Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

Winter Cat

Winter Cat

ECONOMIC EVENTS

 UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...

* Wed. Nov. 30 @ 2:00 pm ET - Beige Book Report
* Fri. Dec. 2 @ 8:30 am ET - Employment Data
* Wed. Dec. 14 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference
* Wed. Jan. 4, 2023 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Meeting Minutes
* Wed. Feb. 1 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Wednesday, November 30, 2022

SPX: Still In Technical Downtrend On Weekly Timeframe

Following Fed Chairman Powell's speech today, the SPX rallied up to its downtrend line on the weekly timeframe, as shown on the following chart.

As I mentioned in my post of August 21, the SPX is still in a technical weekly downtrend until it makes a higher swing high and swing low. So far, it's made neither.

Its 50 and 200-week moving average zone of support and resistance is narrowing. A breakout/breakdown and hold above/below either moving average may forecast a longer-range projection of trend on this timeframe.


Wednesday, November 09, 2022

MARKETING 101

Many years ago, my Marketing instructor stressed the importance of following the classic marketing rule:

"Lead, Follow, or Get The Hell Out Of The Way!"

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) proved, in his big midterm re-election win last night, that if you follow that rule, you will win...BIG...as a credible leader who achieved great results during his first term.

He's definitely a Republican rising star...one to watch in the years to come...2024 Presidential election candidate? πŸ‘€

N.B. Judging by the mixed results in the House and Senate races, I'd say it's time for former President Donald Trump to cease his crass name-calling of fellow Republicans, stop his incessant whining about losing the presidency in 2020, and pass the baton to someone else as Republican party leader.

It's closing time at the political watering hole and his party-time is over. πŸ•›

Notwithstanding the fact that he lost the Republican House and Senate during his term, along with his 2020 Presidential bid, no doubt, his supporters are grateful for his many contributions during his term in office, listed here and here.

So, he should leave it at that and let the Republican party regroup with fresh ideas and talent...without him at the helm.

Otherwise, he will look like an egotistical fool, should he seek another term using his unseemly bombastic tactics...and will drag the Republicans down in flames, with him. πŸ”₯

* UPDATE Nov. 10...

It looks like the Editorial Board of the WSJ agrees with my assessment of Donald Trump...


* UPDATE Nov. 16...

Donald Trump announced yesterday that he is running for President as a Republican candidate in 2024.

No doubt, he will face other Republican challengers in the preceding primaries, so he may not get that chance, if defeated.

Something tells me that this will divide the GOP and their voters...at a time when it's vital that the party sit back and reflect on what went wrong in the midterms and, then, fix the problems and issues SOON, as well as formulate and pursue actual policies and an agenda, from now until the 2024 Presidential election, one that will appeal to minority groups, women, independents, as well as Republicans.

Senator Lindsey Graham
N.B. By the way, a federal ban on abortion will NOT win votes from women, Senator Lindsey Graham!






* UPDATE Nov. 18...

US House seats won, so far...vote count still underway...5 of 435 seats still undecided...Republicans have the majority (at 218, so far).


Tuesday, November 08, 2022

"Klepto" Cryptomania Crashes

* See UPDATES below...

If market players ( e.g., SoftBank, BlackRock, and many others) were addicted to insane risk, they would have invested in crypto currencies and exchanges...which are in absolute freefall today.

It's just a matter of time before these klepto ponzi schemes hit rock bottom...what a hot mess!


ZeroHedge excerpt

ZeroHedge excerpt






N.B. ⬆️⬆️⬆️












FTX Token (FTT/USD)





* UPDATE Nov. 9...

Things could get very ugly for FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried...what about facing an investigation for fraud, for one thing...

Monday, November 07, 2022

$100-$150 Oil...Just A Matter Of Time

Wait until President Biden stops tapping the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (now at its lowest level since 1984)...a pre-election gimmick/stunt that will, likely, backfire and have major national security implications/consequences, at some point...possibly, sooner than we think.

No doubt, the price of WTI Crude Oil (CL) will skyrocket to $100, or higher, along with inflation, to give Fed Chairman Powell heartburn ("Biden's scapegoat," as he's increasingly being labelled in various news outlets)...it's just a matter of time.




May 7, 2022 tweet

BUT...they told us that...

Meanwhile...

Tone deaf elite πŸ˜•...


Joe Biden's "Accomplishments"



Monthly chart of WTI Crude Oil