WELCOME

Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

ECONOMIC EVENTS

UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...

* Wed. Oct. 20 @ 2:00 pm ET - Beige Book Report

* Tues. Oct. 26 @ 10:00 am ET - CB Consumer Confidence

* Fri. Oct. 29 @ 8:30 am ET - Core PCE Price Index m/m Data

* Wed. Nov. 3 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Announcement + FOMC Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

* Fri. Nov. 5 @ 8:30 am ET - Employment Data

*  Tues. Nov. 9 @ 8:30 am ET - PPI m/m & Core PPI m/m Data

* Wed. Nov. 10 @ 8:30 am ET - CPI m/m & Core CPI m/m Data

*  Fri. Nov. 12 @ 10:00 am ET - Prelim. UoM Consumer Sentiment

*  Fri. Nov. 12 @ 10:00 am ET - Prelim. UoM Inflation Expectations

* Tues. Nov. 16 @ 8:30 am ET - Retail Sales & Core Retail Sales Data

* Wed. Nov. 24 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Meeting Minutes

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.


Sunday, December 27, 2020

President Trump Signs COVID-19/Omnibus Bill With Proviso That Congress Make Amendments

At least the President is fighting for the average American.

We'll see if Congress is, as well, and follows through on these amendments...



At the time of posting this article, there has been muted reaction to this news in the US Futures markets. We'll see how the markets open on Monday.


Monday, December 21, 2020

What's In Store For Bitcoin In 2021?

It seems Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is fond of parabolic spikes...spike #2 is well underway from the March low, as price is approaching the first external Fibonacci level (1.382%) at 26259.60 (upside target and first major resistance level), as shown on the following monthly chart.

The Balance of Power still rests with buyers, but December's level is currently below that of November's, in spite of a 4,413 higher price.

Keep an eye on the BOP level at the December close. If it remains below that of November's close, we could see a retracement early in 2021...potentially down to around 20,000, or lower, particularly if price hits 1.382% by year end.


Tuesday, November 24, 2020

'Trumpenomics' Shatters Glass Ceiling: Dow 30 Hits 30,000

The success of President Trump's First-Term economic policies and programs, including Operation Warp Speed, were reflected in US markets today. The Dow 30 Index smashed through 30,000, setting an all-time record high! 

The Balance of Power lies with buyers...in fact, it also hit a record high today. 

With no overhead resistance, buyers are free to continue this bull run.




Friday, November 13, 2020

From This Week's "Smile File"...Nancy Pelosi's Friday the 13th

😏 I wonder how the rest of her day will go?

Link to tweet & video

Whoops...😮

Link to tweet & video

Link to tweet


S&P 500 Index At A Major Inflection Point

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has breached, once again, the outermost deviation band of the Regression Channel (+5 standard deviation), which has its beginnings at the March 2009 low, as shown on the following monthly chart. So far, it hasn't been able to sustain a move higher.

It's either going to enter a new hyper-bullish phase to, potentially, spike sharply to parabolic heights, or pull back to somewhere around, either a confluence of the 20 MA with the +2 deviation level around 3100ish, or to a confluence of the 50 MA with the Regression Channel median around 2800ish.

Either way, the move could be swift.

In my post of November 8, I mentioned that buyers were in control of the MSCI World Market Index, based on a monthly timeframe. Its price was 2470.05 (Friday November 6).

The upside target I identified was around 2600. The next day it hit a high of 2546.16 before pulling back to close at 2502.06, as shown on the following daily chart. It's been trying to retest that high for the past three days, without success. The Balance of Power has flipped from buyers to sellers on this short-term timeframe

This may be a warning of weakening interest and a possible pullback in the SPX, as well as other global indices. Keep an eye on the MSCI World Market Index for clues in the short term.


Monday, November 09, 2020

"ZOOM" In..."ZOOM" Out!

* See UPDATE below...

Good news was announced today by Pfizer for a possible COVID-19 vaccine...more data will be assembled, then submitted to the FDA for approval in December. 

The research, development, and distribution of vaccines by Pfizer and other companies was established by the Trump administration's COVID-19 Task Force and fast-tracked under their 'Operation Warp Speed' program.

Link to tweet/article

Link to tweet/article


Link to tweet/article


Link to both of Frank's tweets & threads


Bad news for Zoom (ZM).

I'm not surprised it's plunged after its 735% parabolic rise in just 10 months this year! Remember what happened to Bitcoin?

We'll see what happens by the end of the year.


Bitcoin refresher...


* UPDATE December 30...

This is not good news for ZOOM...




After three failed attempts by buyers to push and hold ZOOM above 300, it looks like they've fled the scene. ZOOM has lost nearly 50% of its value from its October highs.

A drop and hold below 300 could seal its fate...while a push and hold above 500 could attract serious buyers, once a for all.

We'll see what 2021 brings.


Sunday, November 08, 2020

Buyers in Control of the MSCI World Market Index

I last wrote about the MSCI World Market Index in my post of December 24, 2019.

Since then, it surpassed its resistance level of 2340 and is sitting at 2470.05, as shown on the following monthly chart.

The Balance of Power lies in the hands of buyers on this timeframe, as price is set to break out above its high of 2500.32 to new all-time highs...provided that Momentum (MOM) continues to rise.

Its next major resistance level lies at the top edge of the Andrew's Pitchfork channel around 2600.

For clues on global market direction and strength, keep an eye on the RSI on the following basket of global market indices. As long as it keeps rising over the coming days and weeks, we may see the 2600 target achieved in the medium-to-longer term, or even by the end of 2020.

As well, the tug-of-war situation that I described in my post of October 26 between China's Shanghai Index (SSEC) and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is worth monitoring, in this respect. The SPX is now sitting just above its former resistance level of 3500, while the SSEC remains around 100 points below its resistance price of 3400. Keep an eye on how this develops for the remainder of the year (and beyond) for additional hints as to the viability of further buying in the MSCI World Market Index.


2024 Presidential Election Teaser

 "We'll see what happens." -- President Donald J. Trump

Link to tweet


Saturday, November 07, 2020

US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: It's Not Over Yet

Contrary to what the media has just announced, Joe Biden has NOT yet been officially declared the President-elect, as he has not yet been certified as the winner of any state. There are still ballots to be counted, numerous recounts to be done, and pending court cases to be litigated and settled before that can happen.

As former President Obama said post-2016 election, "There is only one President at a time." 

At the moment, President Trump will remain President until noon on January 20, 2021...and beyond, if re-elected.

Link to tweet

Important details revealed below...

Friday, November 06, 2020

Karma Bites: Nancy Pelosi

"House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is struggling to keep her members happy after the party's meager performance during Tuesday's election."

She attracted this mess to her party following their 2020 Presidential campaign rhetoric and policies...KARMA!

Important details revealed below...

Thursday, November 05, 2020

SUPREME COURT & IMPEACHMENT SHENANIGANS: Prescient Article?

Based on what transpired with the recent (contentious) confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, it looks like the assumptions that I made in my post of October 1, 2019 (and the others referenced therein) may have, in fact, been accurate.

Link to my full article

"There's nothing in the Constitution 
that says the President stops 
being President in his last year."

If true for Obama, then it must be so for Trump.


Integrity


Helpful hint to bear in mind on that journey...


Friday, October 30, 2020

290 Years Vs. 47 Months: More of the same from whom?...

 America's choice on November 3rd...

Former Vice-President Joe Biden, et al
290 Aggregate Years of 6 Democrats in US Government
(including time spent in local politics)

House Speaker #PelosiTheRipper disrespected all of these 
people who were honoured by the President 
in his 2020 State of the Union speech...

by ripping up their distinguished legacies...
shameful!
She should have been censured by the House and resigned in disgrace.


OR
Link to article

Trump promises made...promises kept...and kept and kept and kept.

Trump supporters
October 31, 2020