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Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...

Dots

...If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

Paris

Paris

Events

UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...
* Wed. May 23 @ 2:00 pm ET ~ FOMC Meeting Minutes
* Mon. May 28 ~ U.S. markets closed for Memorial Day Holiday
* Wed. May 30 @ 2:00 pm ET ~ Beige Book Report
* Fri. June 1 @ 8:30 am ET ~ Employment Data
* Tues. June 12 @ 8:30 am ET ~ MoM & YoY CPI & Core CPI Data
* Wed. June 13 @ 2:00 pm ET ~ FOMC Announcement + FOMC Forecasts + @ 2:30 pm ET ~ Fed Chair Press Conference
* Tues. July 3 ~ U.S. markets close early at 1:00 pm ET
* Wed. July 4 ~ U.S. markets closed for Independence Day Holiday
* Wed. Aug. 1 @ 2:00 pm ET ~ FOMC Announcement
* Mon. Sept. 3 ~ U.S. markets closed for Labour Day Holiday
*** Click here for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events

IMPORTANT BLOG POST UPDATES...
* JCPOA - Will President Trump recertify the JCPOA on May 12?...stay tuned...May 8 the answer is "No"...US pariticipation in the deal
is scrapped...new sanctions coming for Iran and, possibly, for nations supporting Iran.

Monday, November 07, 2011

Financial Markets are Clinging...

I've mentioned a number of times recently that it's my opinion that the equities markets will need the Financial markets on board in order to resume a meaningful and convincing advance...at the moment, they (Financials) are grappling with the middle of the Bollinger Bands on their Daily charts, after bouncing at the beginning of October.

As can be seen on the first Daily chartgrid below, the Financials ETF, XLF, is moderately stronger than the individual bank stocks (which are all just above their 50 sma (red), except for BAC)...they are all a considerable distance below their 200 sma (pink), in contrast to the YM, ES, NQ & TF which are much stronger, as shown on the second Daily chartgrid below (the action on those is currently taking place either above or below their 200 sma).

It should be noted, however, that all these charts are still under the influence of a Death Cross (with the 50 sma below the 200 sma), and price is subject to a resumption of further bearish downside movement until the positioning of these moving averages is reversed with conviction.



Should the 4 e-mini futures indices continue to advance, we will need to see the Financials continue to advance, as well. The percentage comparison chart below of the Dow 30, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and XLF shows that XLF has outpaced the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq since its October 4th lows in terms of percentage gained from that date.


The percentage comparison chart below of XLF, GS, JPM, C, BAC, & MS shows that BAC has begun to show relative weakness since November 4th (as confirmed on the Daily chartgrid above) and is one to watch over the coming days/weeks...to either play "catch up," or potentially signal a reversal in the Financials, and possibly the equities markets.