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The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...

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Friday, September 30, 2011

Who won the "pinball game" in the 3rd Quarter of 2011?


I love the pinball machine...the only video arcade machine that I've ever enjoyed playing...maybe the action of drawing back on the pinball pulley and watching it spring forth and whack the ball out and into the action reminds me of the 9:30 a.m. stock market bell...then, it's just me and the machine and the paddles...

Since today marked the end of the third quarter for the markets, I thought I'd put up some charts depicting quarterly and yearly timeframes.

First, however, the 4-hourly chart below of the TF shows the "pinball" action that has occurred in each quarter this year. July was quite a decisive month...one month out of nine where it actually trended...more like plunged in one direction. This was also the case for the YM, ES & NQ.


If you look at the Quarterly chart below of the Russell 2000, you can see how much of  the profits that were made in 2010 and 2011 were blown away in the third quarter...but actually most of it in July...timing is everything, eh! The next major level of support sits around 550.


The Yearly chart below of the Russell 2000 depicts a "dark cloud cover" candle formation so far for 2011...a very bearish pattern...however, with 3 months left in the year, anything can happen. It may be worth noting that the long bottom tail on the 2009 candle has never been retested...perhaps that will happen within the next year or so...we certainly have the present global economic, financial, social, and political climate brewing for that to occur.


Below are a Quarterly chart and a Yearly chart for the Dow 30...similar comments apply to the Dow as mentioned above for the Russell. The next major level of support sits around 10000.



Below are a Quarterly chart and a Yearly chart for the S&P 500...similar comments apply to the S&P as mentioned above for the Russell. The next major level of support sits around 1050.



Below are a Quarterly chart and a Yearly chart for the Nasdaq Composite...similar comments apply to the Nasdaq as mentioned above for the Russell. The next major level of support sits around 2100.



Now, if only a quarter would pay for a game of pinball...