- 6 Major Indices
- 9 Major Sectors
- Number of Stocks Above 20/50/200-Day Moving Averages
- Various World Markets
- N.B. Please click this link to see my Addendum post to this one for further Weekly analysis
6 Major Indices
9 Major Sectors
Number of Stocks Above 20/50/200-Day Moving Averages
Various World Markets
The following 1-Year Daily "thumbnail" charts of various world markets will show, at a glance, where price is currently trading relative to their 50-day MA (red).
You can see which markets have run the furthest distance above the 50 MA (which I'll call Group 1), which ones have either pulled back down to it, or have rallied up to it after dropping below (which I'll call Group 2), and which ones are still below it (Group 3).
We may see some rotation occurring over the next while -- e.g., some profit-taking in those that seem over-extended above the 50 MA (Group 1), and buying in those that are trading around it (Group 2) and below it (Group 3). Included in Groups 2 and 3 are Utilities, Brazil, Russia, China, Canada, the Commodities ETF, the Agricultural ETF, Gold, WTIC Oil, Copper, Silver, Platinum, Brent Crude Oil, the six major currencies vs. the U.S. $, Lumber, and 30-Year Bonds...broadly-speaking, Utilities, Commodities, commodity-producing countries, non-U.S. currencies, and 30-Year Bonds. Of particular interest is the amount of weakness we're seeing in Bonds, which have hit a level of major support...if that support is broken and held, we may see a push up in most markets.
If we do not see buying resume in Group 2, and particularly Group 3, and weakness re-enters those markets, we may then see a general weakening of all markets above the 50 MA. Such an occurrence would then show up on the four preceding charts...which is why one could track the general theme going forward using this simple formula in such a complex world market matrix. No doubt, there are many, more complex, formulas that could be, and are being, used, but I only present this as one possibility.
Enjoy your weekend and good luck next week! And, since Sunday is Mother's Day, I'd like to take this opportunity to wish all Mothers a very Happy Mother's Day!