WELCOME

Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...
please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Cabin

Cabin

Events

UPCOMING ECONOMIC EVENTS...
* Tues. July 28th ~ 2-Day FOMC Meeting begins + Wed. July 29th @ 2:00 pm ET ~ FOMC Meeting Announcement
* Fri. Aug. 7th @ 8:30 am ET ~ U.S. Employment Data
*** Click here for link to Economic Calendars for additional data

Friday, December 07, 2012

Consumer Sentiment Has Soured Amidst Higher Inflation Expectations

Data released today (Friday) shows that Preliminary Consumer Sentiment for December dropped  to 74.5% from the final reading of 82.7% for November, as shown on the graph below. December's final (Revised) data will be released in a couple of weeks. The Preliminary release tends to have the most impact.

Inasmuch as it's a "leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity," this may be forecasting a weakening of expected Christmas sales, and sales into 2013 (since consumers will have to begin paying for any Christmas gifts purchased on credit).

Furthermore, Preliminary Inflation Expectations for December rose to 3.3% from the final reading of 3.1% for November...the final (Revised) data will be released in a couple of weeks. Inasmuch as "expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise," this would, no doubt, have an impact on corporate profits and, potentially, impinge on hiring intentions.