Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.


* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...





* Fri. April 5 @ 8:30 am ET - Employment Data
* Wed. April 10 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Meeting Minutes
* Wed. April 17 @ 2:00 pm ET - Beige Book Report
* Wed. May 1 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Sunday, June 20, 2021


Further to my post of June 11, the SPX:VIX ratio has drop to just above the 200 level...a major resistance/support level, as shown on the daily ratio chart below.

This follows a recent new swing high in price to just above 250. Ratio price has failed, repeatedly, to remain above 250 over the years.

All three technical indicators, RSI, MACD and PMO, formed divergences on this latest price swing high, hinting at ensuing price weakness. After making a new all-time high of 4257.16 on June 15, the SPX dropped sharply and closed at 4166.45 on Friday.

Furthermore, the RSI has dropped below 50, and the MACD and PMO have formed bearish crossovers, all signalling further weakness ahead.

A drop and hold below 200 could send the SPX down to around 4100, or lower to 4000...particularly if the ratio drops and holds below its next support level of 150 (the 200 MA sits at 173.43, so failure of price to hold that level will see major selling follow in the SPX).

Major historical support on the ratio sits at 100, which, up until the year 2000, represented major resistance during the 1990s. A drop and hold below that level would likely result in panic selling in the SPX, as we saw during the 2008/09 financial crisis [refer to the longer-timeframe monthly chart of the SPX (with SPX:VIX ratio displayed in histogram format) shown in my above-mentioned post for context].