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Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

Dafs

Dafs

ECONOMIC EVENTS

UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...

***2026***
* Wed. Mar. 18 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Wednesday, May 19, 2021

Did China Unleash COVID-19 As A Bioweapon Of War Against The U.S.?

* See UPDATES below...

Judge for yourself...

Source: ZeroHedge

Why would China brag about deliberately causing such a world-wide catastrophe when their own vulnerable Shanghai Index is perched at a precarious level, above which it hasn't been able to hold for any length of time since 2007?

By the way, did any of the global leaders realize that China had launched a "biological war," as declared?

More importantly, are any more such "wars" imminent? If so, how will global leaders deter such an assault from the Communists?

Perhaps if President Biden's military/national security personnel learn to clap on demand, they'll figure out a way to win, or even prevent, the next "bio-war." 😏

Source: ZeroHedge

* UPDATE May 22...

Interesting COVID-19 virus origin update from Fox News host, Tucker Carlson...

Source: Fox News

* UPDATE May 28...

Whoops...

Source: ZeroHedge

* UPDATE May 29...

More whoops...

Source: ZeroHedge

*** Even more stunning...and disturbing reports are noted below...

2% Target For US10YT

I last wrote about the US10YT in my post of April 8.

Since then, it retested the 1.50 level, reversed, and is now attempting to extend its rally in an effort to reach 2.00, or higher, as shown on the following weekly chart.

As long as it holds above the upper moving average of the William's Alligator (1.58), I'd say there's a good chance it will reach that level. The Balance of Power has shifted back to Buyers. I'd like to see the Awesome Oscillator turn green to confirm that support for a higher yield is sustainable.

Keep an eye on inflation for clues, as I've described in detail in my post of May 13 (and subsequent updates noted therein)...inasmuch as longer-term inflation will, no doubt, have an impact on 10-year treasury yields...particularly, as the Fed is beginning to admit that it may not, in fact, be "transitory," as they've been trying to peddle.

May 19


-- ZeroHedge


Thursday, May 13, 2021

Inflation Reality Bites The Biden Administration

* See UPDATES below...

Uh oh...Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Core CPI data shows that inflation has dramatically spiked -- to numbers not seen in multiple decades -- as shown on the graphs below.

"Inflation cycles feed on easy money; so the odds increase with each passing day that the new inflation cycle will not prove to be 'transitory.'"

 -- Source: ZeroHedge.com



Subsequently, North and South American markets got hammered, as shown below.

Source: StockQ.org

The SPX:VIX ratio closed below the 200-day MA, as shown on the following daily ratio chart.

Following their respective trendline breaks, all three technical indicators are signalling further weakness for the SPX. If the ratio fails to retake and hold above the 200 MA, then we should see the selling continue.


If the Biden administration is not worried about today's inflation numbers -- or much else it seems, as they lurch from one self-inflicted crisis to another -- plenty of economists, analysts, politicians, and military personnel are, as evident in the following articles.

Monday, May 10, 2021

Quote Of The Day

Presented without comment...


What precipitated Mr. Chang's tweet...


"This is beginning to look like the 1970s gas shortage. 
If the panic just started hours ago - just wait until tomorrow. 
People will freak."







Sunday, May 09, 2021

U.S. Employment Reality Bites The Biden Administration

 But, no one's listening in the White House...













President Biden and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen are ignoring the negative and suppressive effect that Biden's policies, executive orders, and executive actions are already having on the U.S. economy and jobs.

Instead, the President is rushing recklessly toward enacting his party's $93 Trillion extreme far-left Green New Deal (Representative AOC's and Senator Markey's socialist "malarkey") and is already paying people not to work...one of many items on their "wish list."

As I've detailed in my February 9, 2019 article, this will not end well for Americans, or the markets...and, possibly sooner, rather than later.

Strangely, over half of you voted for this man...without even having an inkling of what policies he supported at the time. No wonder he kept his socialist agenda under wraps in his basement until after he took office on January 20! Would you have voted for him, if you'd known what he'd unleash, beginning on Day One?

Continue reading my article at this link


By the way, if Mr. Biden wants to pay people not to work, why would anyone bother to go to school (K through 12) and university, and why should the government (YOU, the taxpayer) cough up money for those redundant institutions, unions, teachers/professors, and programs, as well as their hard assets such as buildings and real estate, etc.?

Socialism fosters laziness and ignorance and squashes the development of creativity. Why would any advanced nation want to foist that kind of misery on its citizens and degrade its economy and national security in the process?


The rest of the world is watching...


...what will YOU do, in the meantime, while the White House fiddles?


Thursday, May 06, 2021

Monday, May 03, 2021

What Do Tesla, The Keystone XL Pipeline, And $100.00 Oil Have In Common?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), gained a whopping 353.68% in the past 12 months. Its percentage gain is slightly under the combined gains of the 8 U.S. Major Indices, as shown on the following graph. 

It could be a stand-alone index at this rate!

The following 5-year daily chart of TSLA shows that price is hovering just above its 50-day MA, following a volatile, feeble, whip-saw rally since its low on March 5.

Price is at a critical juncture, in that the RSI has tentatively risen just above 50.00, while the MACD and PMO have just formed bearish crossovers.

A failure of TSLA to hold above both the 50-day MA and the 50.00 RSI level, could see a hefty pullback occur in short order to the 200-day moving average at 567.46, or lower.

However, if it can hold above the 50-day MA and the 50.00 RSI, and if we see bullish crossovers form and hold on the MACD and PMO, it could, concievably, retest its all-time high of 900.40, or spike higher.


With Tesla's Q1 2021 earnings report out now, we'll see whether buyers step back in...or not...in view of lowered analyst sentiment and a decreased yearly EPS forecast for fiscal year end December 2021, following two back-to-back quarter misses (-61.9% for Q4 2020 and -11.36% for Q1 2021).

Furthermore, the following news may put a damper on bullish enthisiasm. And, if that becomes a pattern among car buyers, we could see WTI Crude Oil reach $80.00, or even $100.00, in no time (monthly chart below), unless OPEC increases production to avoid runaway inflation and voter backlash against world leaders, especially U.S. President Biden

Perhaps Joe's cancellation of the Keystone XL pipeline project through the U.S. on Day One of his administration (together with his frenetic fracking bans to please out-of-touch-with-reality jet-setting world climate zealots, particularly those who may be or were invested in oil stocks) was catastrophically short-sighted and ill-advised...and every day's delay in its construction will see costs skyrocket, especially if Oil spikes.

We'll see what happens...and whose hotline rings first. Prime Minister Trudeau, are you paying attention?

Source: ZeroHedge.com


Saturday, May 01, 2021

Changes Coming To My Blog E-mail Subscriptions

N.B. To my Blog readers who receive my new posts via e-mail, please be advised that Google's E-mail FeedBurner Subscription service will cease to be provided and you will no longer receive them via email, beginning in July.

Instead, feel free to bookmark my Blog address and check in daily to read any new articles that I may have posted, as well as any updates I may have added to previous ones.

My appologies for any inconvenience in this regard. Your loyalty over the years is appreciated. 😊

N.B. To the editors of those websites who publish my articles on their sites, you will continue to automatically receive them via FeedBurner Subscription, as usual.

Many thanks to all who've supported my Blog over the years, in one way or another. 😊

Candy Matheson

Strawberry Blonde's Market Summary


President Biden's First 100 Days

Presented without comment...

Link to tweet