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The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
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Wednesday, October 05, 2011

Do you base your spending habits on GDP forecasts?

I saw that headline question pre-market today on Canada's BNN TV...unfortunately, I didn't get to watch the answers that the "man/woman in the street" gave.

Really, is there any doubt? Doesn't it go something like this?...a balanced budget = personal income divided by personal outgoings with, hopefully, something left over to put into savings for retirement and future inflation. And, since I don't have the luxury of my own personal money printing press, I can't fabricate what I haven't legitimately earned to cover expenses. So, NO is my answer, if I were polled.

With bank interest rates pretty much non-existent these days, and the fact that personal debt-to-income ratio has skyrocketed to extremely excessive amounts for many Americans over the past few years, I don't see how the country's economy can legitimately grow (from domestic demand) without the printing of additional money. What people are faced with, in reality, is trying to pay off debts and survive at the same time. The same comments apply to the world economies...a slowdown in growth = a slowdown in demand for U.S. products/services (as well as for domestic products/services).